I hesitate on posting my prediction too early, because when I do, anyone near a sports book runs to bet the opposite, screwing up the odds.
That being said, I like Mosley late. I bet $200 on the under (win $260.)
My friend "The Count" (who has forgotten more about boxing than I will ever know) likes Vargas late.
Things to ponder: Vargas is six years younger than Mosley. Vargas has lost to De La Hoya and Mosley has beaten DLH twice. The more attractive fight from a PPV standpoint would be if Vargas comes off of a big win and then: Vargas - De La Hoya II - Revenge (or whatever). It would be near impossible to sell Mosley v. DLH III.
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