The Kentucky Derby is officially a crapshoot. You've got a better chance of knowing what numbers you will roll at a dice table than what horse will win the Derby. This makes 8 out of the last 12 years where the winning mutuel was over $20.00.

And the AVERAGE mutuel for the last TWENTY-FIVE years (since current Palms honoree Seattle Slew won it) is still over $20.00, even going back that far. $27.80 is about par for the course. Lost in all the talk about the favorite rarely winning it, is the fact that the top five or six picks rarely win it. Amazing.

Trivia: What horse won all 22 career starts except for the Kentucky Derby, where he ran 2nd to Dark Star by a mere head?

Derby chips look pretty good this year led by The Palms, then Harrah's, Tropicana, Four Queens, and Rio. Anything else out there? Anything from Atlantic City, Laughlin, Reno or elsewhere this year?

Take care,

Cinch